Baime, a journalist and the author of “The Accidental President,” brings the epic back on stage with “Dewey Defeats Truman: The 1948 Election and the Battle for America’s Soul,” a straightforward narrative studded with evocative detail and surprising factoids. And if it happens, the postmortem will go like this. It is a newspaper front page, dated Nov. 3, 1948, and it carries the immortal headline, “Dewey Defeats Truman.” Like Biden, Thomas E. Dewey was the clear Establishment pick from the start. Yet Truman won not just because of polling errors, but because of late-stage momentum. Like Biden, Dewey ran a low-risk, low-profile campaign, assuming the inevitability of his victory, on the advice of his highly experienced campaign managers. Ironically, this example is a downplay of the trope. A review (Original post) question everything: Jul 2020: OP: One of our Best Presidents ever. The governor of New York since 1943, Dewey had unsuccessfully run for president twice before (failing to secure the Republican nomination in 1940, and losing to Franklin Roosevelt in 1944). Dewey Defeats Truman: The 1948 Election and the Battle for America's Soul by Bai. By morning, the headline was proven wrong. Top Rated Seller Top Rated Seller. Yet contemporaries still assumed that was a sufficient margin to assure him of victory. The Dewey Defeats Truman newspaper is arguably the most famous and sought after newspaper of all time. Click to read the full review of Dewey Defeats Truman: The 1948 Election and the Battle for America's Soul in New York Journal of Books. The Chicago Tribune printed "Dewey Defeats Truman" in reference to this prediction on the front page of its November 3 edition (the day after the election). And it was not only white working-class voters who felt this way. ETF and Mutual Fund data provided by Morningstar, Inc. Dow Jones Terms & Conditions: http://www.djindexes.com/mdsidx/html/tandc/indexestandcs.html. All rights reserved. -- November 11, 2020 Kevin Schulman, Founder, DonorVoice and DVCanvass Conventional wisdom and a veteran political analyst who had predicted the winner in four of the five prior presidentials leading up to this 1948 election were clear; not only would Dewey win but Republicans would retain control of the House and Senate. In his book “Out of the Jaws of Victory,” the journalist Jules Abels noted that Dewey’s pitch for unity was “an issue which had no visceral appeal to the average American. For pollsters, pundits, and the press, Democrat Harry Truman’s surprise victory over Republican Thomas E. Dewey in 1948 is, or ought to be, an enduring reminder about the perils of … The governor of New York since 1943, Dewey had unsuccessfully run for president twice before (failing to secure the Republican nomination in 1940, and losing to Franklin Roosevelt in 1944). The photograph with Truman holding aloft the paper has become one of the most famous newspaper photos of the century. Party bosses in Illinois, New Jersey, New York and Florida actively sought to “dump” him in the summer of 1948. On Sept. 9, pollster Elmo Roper announced that “Thomas E. Dewey is almost as good as elected … I can think of nothing duller or more intellectually barren than acting like a sports announcer who feels he must pretend he is witnessing a neck-and-neck race.” The Crossley Poll of Oct. 15 placed Dewey ahead in 27 states. Top Rated Seller Top Rated Seller. How much do you worry about the coronavirus? Dewey Defeats Truman The 1948 Election and the Battle for America's Soul (Book) : Baime, A. J. : On the eve of the 1948 election, America was a fractured country. Truman defeats Dewey , Nov. 2, 1948. Indeed, the intraparty schism was worse for Truman than for Trump. Yes, as I argued here two weeks ago, I really can see the headline: “Biden Defeats Trump.” Gun to my head, I’d say the probability of a 2008-style blue wave is still roughly double that of a 1948-style upset. Account & Lists Account Returns & Orders. “What’s the Use of Going Through with the Election?” was the caption of a typical cartoon two weeks before Election Day. According to RealClear Politics, Trump support was growing in Florida, Georgia, North Carolina and Ohio. But revisiting 1948 provides a salutary reminder that even bigger upsets have happened in the history of American presidential elections than the one that elected Donald Trump president in 2016. The pandemic he wished would miraculously go away is entering its third wave. And Ohio just two days remaining before the election, America was a sufficient margin to assure of. Remarks in St. Louis, Vincennes, Indiana and Cincinnati, Ohio did not think Harry would re-election... 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